You still think the OpenAI board overreacted when firing Altman or are you now of the Gary Marcus view that the original board was correct and that Altman is untrustworthy?
God knows a lot of the people leaving that place seem to have backgrounds or job titles that should give us all concern that they’re the ones finding the culture intolerable
I suggest a moratorium on giving high profile tech jobs to people named Sam until we work out what the hell is going on
TBF 2022 was the mother of all recessions - for tech bros. The move away from ZIRP was very painful for late stage VCs as evidenced by lots of firms quietly shutting down and the lack of IPOs.
Gen AI VC investment is almost certainly a bubble. The question is whether it is a mobile tech bubble (and yields at least some viable businesses) or a crypto bubble (total BS). My take is that Gen AI is not complete BS.
BTW The hot term du jour is RAG - Retrieval-Augmented Generation. i.e. how do you use pre-existing knowledge bases to stop LLM making stuff up left, right, and centre.
I have been wondering about AI which on the surface seems like the new shiny penny and on the other hand feels like the next big jobs eliminator. Useless on both counts. Anybody want to give me a reason to think otherwise?
He just keeps being right and his takes on LLMs hitting a wall and not being the path to true AGI continue to be proven correct by events, as does his pessimism and distrust of Sam Altman
I’ve learned so much from him, an actual expert not a lazy booster
He believes in the power of AI to improve the world but doesn’t believe LLMs are the path to AI and is upset so much money is being wasted on them and fears that their eventual failure will set back the development of true AGI by years if not decades
Touches on it but far more focused on how LLMs are the wrong path to be taking to reach AGI and the theft of intellectual property in LLMs being a major scandal
While I usually respect your writing, this is amazingly off target. You mention a few tech executives and generalize to all of Silicon Valley? Most of SV looks at those same people as outsiders as they represent a fringe to everyone.
This article is the equivalent of pointing at Trump's foreign policy statements as representative of the entire field of international relations.
You still think the OpenAI board overreacted when firing Altman or are you now of the Gary Marcus view that the original board was correct and that Altman is untrustworthy?
God knows a lot of the people leaving that place seem to have backgrounds or job titles that should give us all concern that they’re the ones finding the culture intolerable
I suggest a moratorium on giving high profile tech jobs to people named Sam until we work out what the hell is going on
We don't know how markets will react to anything. If we did, we'd all be rich
We don't know the direction, but usually we can be pretty sure of the upper bound on amplitude.
TBF 2022 was the mother of all recessions - for tech bros. The move away from ZIRP was very painful for late stage VCs as evidenced by lots of firms quietly shutting down and the lack of IPOs.
Gen AI VC investment is almost certainly a bubble. The question is whether it is a mobile tech bubble (and yields at least some viable businesses) or a crypto bubble (total BS). My take is that Gen AI is not complete BS.
BTW The hot term du jour is RAG - Retrieval-Augmented Generation. i.e. how do you use pre-existing knowledge bases to stop LLM making stuff up left, right, and centre.
I have been wondering about AI which on the surface seems like the new shiny penny and on the other hand feels like the next big jobs eliminator. Useless on both counts. Anybody want to give me a reason to think otherwise?
Read Gary Marcus
He just keeps being right and his takes on LLMs hitting a wall and not being the path to true AGI continue to be proven correct by events, as does his pessimism and distrust of Sam Altman
Thanks, will look him up
He’s on Substack, well worth a follow
I’ve learned so much from him, an actual expert not a lazy booster
He believes in the power of AI to improve the world but doesn’t believe LLMs are the path to AI and is upset so much money is being wasted on them and fears that their eventual failure will set back the development of true AGI by years if not decades
Does he talk about the energy cost? Seems like right when we should be using less energy, so much going to power AI
Touches on it but far more focused on how LLMs are the wrong path to be taking to reach AGI and the theft of intellectual property in LLMs being a major scandal
While I usually respect your writing, this is amazingly off target. You mention a few tech executives and generalize to all of Silicon Valley? Most of SV looks at those same people as outsiders as they represent a fringe to everyone.
This article is the equivalent of pointing at Trump's foreign policy statements as representative of the entire field of international relations.